Every year I turn into Nostradamus and make some bold predictions on the NFL season. Let's take a look at what's going to happen this NFL season.
1. Kyren Williams will get injured, and Blake Corum will average a RB1 pace while Kyren is out. I never wish injury or misfortune on anyone, but Kyren Williams is already undersized playing a very physically demanding position. Recently it was announced that Kyren will also be taking kickoff duties, the kickoff, even with the new rules can have some of the most violent collisions in the game. I have made an effort in all my leagues to draft Corum if I went Williams.
2. Brandon Aiyuk will outscore Deebo Samuel in fantasy points at the end of the season. Real world fears creep their way into ADP for fantasy. Aiyuks contract situation and possible future trade destination lowered his prospects. he is currently listed as the WR15, while Deebo is at WR13. Deebo is often injured and plays a more physical game which is built into this prediction, but even then Aiyuk is going to have more report built with Brock, and I think even takes a bigger step forward this year as a majority of routes are more timing based. Deebo is still explosive, but he is often not a real route runner, you just hand him the ball and watch him roll.
3. James Cook will finish top 12 in running back scoring in .5 ppr. James Cook is currently coming off as RB 14. built into his ADP is the fact that Josh Allen will take alot of his goal line carries for touchdowns. Which I also agree with, but last year after Joe Brady took over as OC, the Bills became a run first team. They took less deep shots and really wanted Josh Allen to take what was given. Cook had a few fumble scares, but the Bills have not added much to the RB depth room, so the brunt of the carries will go through Cook.
4. Jayden Daniels will run for 800+, and throw for 3000+ yards. I know this is probably expected, but some pundits are saying he might have a dismal season because the o line is horrible. Sam Howell got sacked the most in the NFL last year. There is also something specific about these numbers, and they are a notch above RG3's rookie of the year numbers. Dan Quinn, unless it's a playoff game, or Superbowl, can coach and scheme a defense. I think this will allow for more even game scripts. Howell was really chasing games last year on top of getting smacked as evident by him throwing the same amount of interceptions as touchdowns (21). That hero ball also lead Howell to 4k yards, and I still think Daniels is a better more accurate thrower, but he isn't going to be chasing games and getting AS MUCH empty stats. There are a few receivers there, and that o line disintegrating will force Daniels to run even on non designed runs.
5. Sam Howell will overtake Geno Smith. As mentioned in the previous post Howll had a pretty eventful season in Washington last year. The season trajectory wound up getting a slew of coaches fired, and a #2 overall pick. Which in turn forced Sam Howell out of the equation. He finds himself on a team going through a bit of a reclamation project themselves, Nz that's the Seattle Seahawks. Geno's new coach has no ties to him, and the season that earned Geno his money isn't to far away from what Sam did his rookie year (apart from the interceptions). Sam hasn't looked half bad in preseason either. Any rough patches or injuries could leave the Seahawks with a cheaper and, in my opinion more talented option.
Commentaires